« Tesla Rock! | Main | Chris Messina on OpenID »

How Obama can win Texas

Burnt Orange Report has a very good analysis of Obama's chances in the Texas primary/caucuses. The key is to have a good turnout at the caucuses at the end of the day. [Link]

Of course, this discussion has only focused on the "primary" portion of Texas' primary/caucus system. Texas' caucuses begin at 7:15 PM after the polls close on Election Day, March 4th. Texas caucuses are an entirely separate election process for determining an entirely separate portion of national delegates. A candidate could win the primary but lose the caucuses to a better organized opponent.

Key Point: The Texas caucus system awards the candidate with the most active voters who return to vote a second time at 7:15 PM on Election Day, and there's absolutely no question that Senator Obama is absolutely dominating the caucuses.

Senator Obama could come close to Senator Clinton in the "primary" portion and dominate the "caucus" portion --- the only catch is that those 67 votes that come from the "caucus" system won't be known until June and the Texas Democratic Party Convention.

jon posted this at 11:10 PM
Share on Facebook| email to a friend

 Subscribe to RSS feed for Weblogsky